Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.001396 0.001447 0.001499 0.001557 0.001619 0.001683 0.001756
2025-08-03 0.001296 0.001369 0.001446 0.001534 0.001632 0.001740 0.001867
2025-08-10 0.001241 0.001330 0.001427 0.001541 0.001674 0.001825 0.002011
2025-08-17 0.001187 0.001286 0.001397 0.001531 0.001691 0.001879 0.002120
2025-08-24 0.001140 0.001246 0.001367 0.001516 0.001698 0.001919 0.002213
2025-08-31 0.001121 0.001237 0.001372 0.001541 0.001753 0.002019 0.002387
2025-09-07 0.001095 0.001218 0.001362 0.001546 0.001783 0.002086 0.002524
2025-09-14 0.001063 0.001189 0.001338 0.001532 0.001785 0.002118 0.002612
2025-09-21 0.001031 0.001159 0.001311 0.001512 0.001779 0.002136 0.002680
2025-09-28 0.001005 0.001135 0.001291 0.001500 0.001781 0.002164 0.002765
2025-10-05 0.000965 0.001092 0.001245 0.001452 0.001731 0.002116 0.002729
2025-10-12 0.000944 0.001072 0.001229 0.001440 0.001732 0.002139 0.002805
2025-10-19 0.000931 0.001063 0.001225 0.001447 0.001757 0.002202 0.002955
2025-10-26 0.000912 0.001044 0.001209 0.001437 0.001760 0.002231 0.003049
2025-11-02 0.000903 0.001038 0.001209 0.001448 0.001792 0.002306 0.003235
2025-11-09 0.000886 0.001023 0.001196 0.001440 0.001797 0.002339 0.003349
2025-11-16 0.000869 0.001006 0.001180 0.001427 0.001793 0.002358 0.003436
2025-11-23 0.000866 0.001007 0.001188 0.001450 0.001843 0.002467 0.003718
2025-11-30 0.000857 0.001000 0.001185 0.001455 0.001866 0.002533 0.003923
2025-12-07 0.000841 0.000984 0.001170 0.001442 0.001861 0.002550 0.004024
2025-12-14 0.000825 0.000967 0.001152 0.001424 0.001847 0.002551 0.004089
2025-12-21 0.000812 0.000953 0.001138 0.001413 0.001843 0.002569 0.004195
2025-12-28 0.000788 0.000925 0.001104 0.001370 0.001785 0.002486 0.004052